Markets

We provide liquidity on prediction markets.

A price is an implied probability.

Binary contracts settle at 1 if an event occurs and 0 if it does not. Their prices can therefore be read as market-implied probabilities: a contract trading at 0.65 implies a 65% probability, before fees and market frictions.

Opportunities arise when standard heuristics fail to capture the details that drive fair value and execution. Our proprietary Python library makes historical research and backtesting fast and reproducible. Backtests are a filter; the majority of our validation happens through controlled deployment and live production data.

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About Ikaros